Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000191 0.000213 0.000237 0.000265 0.000296 0.000329 0.000368
2025-03-09 0.000156 0.000186 0.000220 0.000262 0.000311 0.000368 0.000439
2025-03-16 0.000133 0.000167 0.000208 0.000261 0.000327 0.000408 0.000514
2025-03-23 0.000116 0.000152 0.000199 0.000261 0.000344 0.000449 0.000594
2025-03-30 0.000101 0.000139 0.000189 0.000259 0.000356 0.000485 0.000670
2025-04-06 0.000091 0.000130 0.000183 0.000261 0.000373 0.000527 0.000757
2025-04-13 0.000082 0.000121 0.000177 0.000262 0.000387 0.000566 0.000844
2025-04-20 0.000073 0.000112 0.000169 0.000258 0.000395 0.000596 0.000919
2025-04-27 0.000069 0.000109 0.000169 0.000267 0.000420 0.000655 0.001041
2025-05-04 0.000065 0.000105 0.000167 0.000271 0.000440 0.000705 0.001154
2025-05-11 0.000060 0.000101 0.000165 0.000274 0.000456 0.000751 0.001264
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000095 0.000159 0.000272 0.000465 0.000785 0.001357
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000089 0.000152 0.000267 0.000469 0.000813 0.001446
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000084 0.000148 0.000266 0.000479 0.000852 0.001557
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000080 0.000144 0.000266 0.000492 0.000896 0.001681
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000076 0.000141 0.000267 0.000506 0.000945 0.001819
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000072 0.000137 0.000265 0.000515 0.000984 0.001941
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000069 0.000135 0.000267 0.000530 0.001037 0.002096
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000067 0.000132 0.000267 0.000544 0.001087 0.002248
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000063 0.000127 0.000264 0.000548 0.001120 0.002369
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000063 0.000129 0.000273 0.000579 0.001207 0.002609
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000061 0.000128 0.000277 0.000601 0.001279 0.002824
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000059 0.000127 0.000280 0.000619 0.001344 0.003030